Williams %R¶
OVERVIEW¶
Williams %R (%R) is a bounded momentum oscillator developed by Larry Williams in 1973. It measures where the current close sits within the trading range of the past N periods, expressed as a negative percentage from 0 (close at the period high) to −100 (close at the period low). Default lookback is 14 periods. Readings above −20 indicate overbought conditions; readings below −80 indicate oversold conditions.
| Parameter | Default | Range |
|---|---|---|
| Lookback period | 14 | 5–200+ |
| Overbought threshold | −20 | Configurable |
| Oversold threshold | −80 | Configurable |
| Output bounds | 0 to −100 | Fixed |
Note
Williams %R is mathematically equivalent to an inverted, unsmoothed stochastic %K. If you already plot Stochastic %K on your chart, %R adds no new information.
FORMULA¶
Variables:
| Variable | Description |
|---|---|
| Highest High over N | Highest high in the lookback window |
| Lowest Low over N | Lowest low in the lookback window |
| Current Close | Most recent closing price |
Boundary conditions:
| Close position | %R output |
|---|---|
| At the period high | 0 |
| At the midpoint | −50 |
| At the period low | −100 |
WORKED EXAMPLE¶
NVDA — 2026-05-07 (14-period lookback)
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| 14-day Highest High | $1,025.40 |
| 14-day Lowest Low | $948.20 |
| Current Close | $1,012.80 |
Tip
A reading of −16 places NVDA above the −20 overbought threshold — the close is in the upper 20% of its 14-day range. In a strong uptrend this is consistent with continuation; in a range-bound market this signals an unfavorable risk-reward for new long entries.
HOW TO USE¶
Mean-Reversion Entries¶
Buy signals trigger at readings below −80; sell signals trigger at readings above −20. This is the classic configuration and works best in range-bound regimes.
Tip
Combine with Bollinger Bands to confirm a range-bound regime before acting on %R extremes.
Divergence¶
A bearish divergence occurs when price prints a higher high while %R fails to exceed its prior reading above −20. This signals momentum exhaustion. The symmetric setup applies on the long side.
Trend-Following Filter¶
In strong uptrends %R spends the majority of time above −50. Readings below −50 signal trend weakening rather than an oversold buy condition. Always read %R in the context of the underlying trend direction.
Multi-Timeframe Confirmation¶
Pairing daily %R with weekly trend direction filters the majority of false signals. Many systematic mean-reversion strategies require %R extremes only when the long-term trend confirms the trade direction.
Signal Confirmation Matrix¶
| Condition | Suggested Pairing | Purpose |
|---|---|---|
| Range-bound market | Bollinger Bands | Confirm regime before entry |
| Momentum exhaustion | RSI | Two-of-three divergence confirmation |
| Oversold/overbought | Stochastic oscillator | Cross-indicator agreement |
| Volume-blind gaps | Money Flow Index | Catch divergences %R misses |
LIMITATIONS¶
Note
Understanding where %R fails is as important as knowing when it works.
| Limitation | Detail |
|---|---|
| Overbought ≠ sell signal | In strong trends %R stays pinned above −20 for weeks. Selling every overbought print in NVDA during 2024 produced a string of losses. |
| Redundant with Stochastic %K | Williams %R is mathematically identical to (Stoch %K − 100). If you already use Stoch, %R adds no information. |
| Lookback sensitivity | A 5-period setting generates excessive false signals. A 28-period setting lags too heavily for active timeframes. No universally optimal value exists. |
| Regime shifts | When volatility expands and price breaks the prior 14-day range, %R pins at −100 or 0 and provides no actionable signal until a new range stabilizes. |
| No volume input | %R is price-only. Volume-aware oscillators such as the Money Flow Index catch divergences that %R cannot detect. |